Eloy Celaya LópezEloy Celaya López

Building AI-driven risk analytics
for European banks.

Data science consultant at Management Solutions, pursuing parallel MSc degrees in AI / Data Science (UCM) and Business Consulting (ICADE). Based in Madrid.

Selected Work

Housing Price Prediction — Community of Madrid

BSc Thesis · UC3M · 2025
R² = 0.95Best model · XGBoost

Statistical analysis and ML modelling of residential sale prices across Madrid municipalities. XGBoost outperformed 4 competing models (Linear Regression, SVR, Decision Tree, Random Forest) achieving R²=0.95 — deployed as an interactive Streamlit web app.

PythonXGBoostscikit-learnStreamlit

US Retail Sales Forecasting — Holt-Winters vs SARIMA

MSc UCM · 2026–2027
MAPE = 1.50%Best model · Holt-Winters

Time series analysis of 168 monthly US retail sales observations (FRED/U.S. Census Bureau, 2012–2025). Compared Holt-Winters multiplicative and SARIMA(0,1,2)(2,1,1)[12] models on a 2025 holdout set — Holt-Winters achieved MAPE 1.50% vs SARIMA’s 2.27%, with a trade-off discussion between predictive accuracy and statistical rigour (confidence intervals, residual validation).

PythonstatsmodelsSARIMAHolt-WintersFRED

Electoral Abstention Modelling — Spanish Municipalities

MSc NTIC · UCM · 2026–2027
AUC = 0.835Logistic model

Predictive modelling of electoral abstention across 8,117 Spanish municipalities using linear and logistic regression with stepwise variable selection (AIC/BIC). Full preprocessing pipeline: outlier detection, missing value imputation, categorical encoding. Logistic model achieves AUC=0.835 with optimal cut-off at 0.30 (Youden index).

Pythonscikit-learnstatsmodelspandas

More projects on GitHub →

Where I've worked

Data Science Consultant

Management Solutions
Sept 2025 — Present

Financial & Credit Risk Consulting practice — risk analytics, data migration, and regulatory transformation for Tier-1 European banks.

Regulatory compliance

Building RDA (Risk Data Aggregation) artifacts and AI agents to automate regulatory data validation and reporting for a major European bank.

Risk reporting

Owned end-to-end design of a Power BI risk analytics solution for a leading European banking group — partnering with business analysts to define requirements, sourcing data from Databricks, and building ETL processes (SQL, PySpark) to integrate multiple financial sources into a unified, governed data model with automated KPI calculations.

Migration & transformation

Supported PMO for a large-scale data migration programme in the financial services sector — tracking milestones, dependencies, and risk across multi-team workstreams, and acting as functional liaison between business stakeholders and IT development teams.

Power BIPySparkDatabricksSQLPython

Sales Director

Unicampus
Sep 2021 – Sep 2025

Led and managed a 10-person sales team in Madrid, driving customer engagement and retention over four years while completing undergraduate studies.

LeadershipTeam ManagementSalesCustomer Retention

Academic background

Current

Pursuing both in parallel to cover the full spectrum — from technical AI / ML foundations to the business and consulting side of data science.

MSc Big Data, Data Science and AI

Universidad Complutense de Madrid
2026 – 2027
Madrid, Spain
  • Machine Learning
  • Deep Learning
  • Big Data
  • Computer Vision
  • NLP
  • Python
  • SQL
More details

MSc Business Consulting & Data Science

ICADE Business School · Universidad Pontificia Comillas
2026 – 2027
Madrid, Spain
  • Data Science Foundations & Financial Analytics
  • Database Design & SQL
  • Introduction to SAS and R
  • Business Consulting
  • Project Finance & Corporate Finance
  • Financial Sector Regulation
More details
Completed

BS Statistics and Business

Grand Valley State University
2024 – 2025
Dean’s ListGPA 3.91 / 4
Michigan, US · Exchange student
  • Data Analysis Tools & Techniques (Honours)
  • Applied Regression Analysis
  • Computing and Graphics with R
  • Concepts of Database Systems
More details

BS Statistics and Business

Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
2021 – 2026
Course delegateGPA 7.6 / 10
Madrid, Spain
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Advanced Regression Methods
  • Statistical Inference Methods II
  • Advanced Spreadsheets (Excel)
More details

Consultant Professional Accelerator

Timestamp España
July 2025
Madrid, Spain · BootcampMore details

Professional Music Degree — Guitar & Composition

CPM Adolfo Salazar
2011 – 2024
Madrid, Spain

What I work with

Languages & Programming
Pythonpandas · scikit-learn · XGBoost · statsmodelsSQLRSAS
Databases
MySQLMongoDB
Data Engineering
PySparkDatabricksSnowflakeETL
Reporting & BI
Power BITableauExcel
Version Control
Git
Spoken Languages
Spanish (Native)English (C1 — IELTS certified)French (Intermediate)

Credentials

Snowflake University Platform Skills Badge
Aug 2026
Microsoft Power BI Data Analyst
Dec 2025
IELTS (C1 Advanced)
British CouncilView Certificate
Sep 2023